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Climate change is considered as a “very high threat” for future fires, with the projected temperature increase over the 75-year period likely to be “beyond the adaptive capacity of most vertebrates”.

Among the IUCN’s list of potential “high threats” to the region’s so-called outstanding universal values are plans by the state government to raise the height of the Warragamba Dam by 17 metres to reduce the flood risks in the Hawkesbury-Nepean flood plain.

Lifting the height of the dam will increase the frequency, duration, depth and extent of temporary
inundation upstream of the wall, affecting as much as 550 hectares, the IUCN said. Wildlife, wilderness and Indigenous cultural values will be some of the key features hit.

Harry Burkitt from the Colong Foundation for Wilderness wades across part of the lower Kowmung River, an area facing inundation if the Warragamba Dam wall is raised.Credit:Wolter Peeters

Stuart Ayres, the minister in charge of the Warragamba project, was approached for comment. He has previously stated that the project’s environmental impact study (EIS) will be made public.

A report prepared from a draft EIS details the potential effects of the billion-dollar project on the region’s World Heritage values.

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Prepared by SMEC consultants before last summer’s bushfires, the report says: “There is a lack of knowledge about the impacts to Blue Mountains plant species and vegetation communities from temporary inundation, and also the presence of threatened species in the potentially
impacted area.”

But they conclude that “while there may be loss of some biodiversity, this would not significantly impact the [World Heritage Area] as a whole,” with only “minor” impacts on Aboriginal cultural heritage.

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Harry Burkitt, a campaigner with the Colong Foundation for Wilderness, said the IUCN assessment underestimated the area likely to be affected by inundation by at least a factor of 10, putting the at-risk area at 6000 hectares.

“IUCN’s World Heritage Outlook is a strategic overview that has used preliminary data in determining its findings,” Mr Burkitt said.

He also said the government’s consultants, SMEC Engineering, were “being paid millions of dollars to systematically justify the destruction of the Greater Blue Mountains World Heritage Area and its hundreds of threatened Australian species”.

“We know from botanical experts that combined with last summer’s devastating bushfires, raising Warragamba Dam would put the very species constituting the Blue Mountains’ Outstanding Universal Values at direct risk of extinction,” he said.

“These iconic species include the recent honeyeater, the Camden white gum, and Kowmung hakea.”

An aerial view of one of the rivers flowing into Lake Burragorang in the Blue Mountains World Heritage Area.

An aerial view of one of the rivers flowing into Lake Burragorang in the Blue Mountains World Heritage Area.Credit:James Brickwood

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