The 2016 presidential campaign taught the world one thing: opinion polls can’t be trusted.

Demographics have changed. Communications have changed. Politics has changed. The electoral system has not.

The polls weren’t entirely wrong: Candidate Hillary Clinton won a majority of the one-vote one-value popular vote (with a margin of 2.1 per cent or 2.9 million votes). But, under the US electoral system, that doesn’t matter.

It’s about winning the necessary number of “points” allocated by an Electoral College system. And that means securing a few key swinging towns and suburbs.

The 2020…



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