In the next 100 days, two massive threats will develop that could – if things go bad – change the course of history. First is the American election and its aftermath. Second is the pandemic winter.

On November 3, next Tuesday (Wednesday morning our time), President Donald Trump is tipped to be voted out of the White House. Polling gives Joe Biden a nine-point lead – that’s a big lead. Prediction website FiveThirtyEight gives Biden an 89 per cent chance of winning. The Economist magazine gives Biden a 95 per cent chance. Betting markets also have him as the favourite, albeit more…



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